$23,700,000,000,000!

By Phil Heidenreich on Jul 21, 2009

That’s 11 zeros for those not counting.  $23.7 trillion dollars – let’s take a moment of silence….   This astronomical number is the total liability that the government has racked up in its series of bailouts of the financial system, according to the Special Inspector General assigned to the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP).  Neil Bartofsky is heading up the investigation into how the TARP funds are being used, as well as how the Treasury Department plans to increase transparency within the program.

In short:  “Don’t ask, don’t tell,” is the Treasury’s policy.  Bartofsky, in testimony given before the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee meeting today focused on the lack of transparency which leaves the taxpayers unaware of how their investments in the federal government have fared.  The latest Quarterly Report shows the government liability from bailing out the financial services industry totaling $23.7 trillion.  Most people are aware of the $800 billion in TARP funds that are on the line, but as SIGTARP emphasized, that is only a collection of 12 recent government programs invested.  There are 50 other programs already in place that also need to be included in assessing the risk involved, forming the $23.7 trillion total.

This is the absolute worst-case scenario number that could be lost, but it is important to consider that even if just a small percentage $23.7 trillion liability is lost, it is still an exorbitant price tag for a program that has done litte to ease unemployment  So where what has the IG uncovered about the use of TARP money?  Instead of being used for its stated purpose of increased lending, many companies have reinvested the money, paid back loans, or offered bonuses.  Since the government tossed bags of money to the companies with the “Don’t ask, don’t tell” policy, it has been difficult to determine more specific results. 

One major problem with the current situation is the Federal Reserve’s high interest rates, which encourage the banks to invest money in the Fed instead of extending new loans – the intended consequence of clearing bad loans through TARP.  As Rep. Dennis Kucinich pointed out, the banks are feeling “pressure to get money out there and pressure to keep money to invest.”  TARP seems to be at odds with the Fed’s mission:  “conducting the nation's monetary policy by influencing the monetary and credit conditions in the economy in pursuit of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates.”

No Transparency

Also included in the Quarterly Report was a list of over 30 recommendations to the Treasury aimed at improving transparency – allowing the people to check up on their investments.  Of those thirty recommendations, only 5 to 10 have been wholly or partially enacted – among those the awkwardly-designed Recovery.gov.  One of the recommendations not in effect is the mandatory reports from recipients of bailout money.  The Treasury has only asked for reports from three:  AIG, Bank of America, and Citigroup; however the IG’s investigation asked for voluntary reports from the other recipients and found that most were willing and helpful. 

While the Treasury challenged the report’s high numbers – as well as the legality of the Special Inspector General position – Bartofsky defended the investigation, “if the numbers are inflated, it was the government who inflated them, not us,” as they recorded all the expenses from government websites and open source materials.  Questioning the Treasury’s unwillingness to become more transparent, Committee Chairman Edolphus Towns suggested they were “too cozy with Wall Street.”  The more that goes on behind closed doors, the more opportunities arise for waste and inefficiencies– especially with $23,700,000,000,000 at stake.

The problem is that there are so many loop holes and ways that people can take advantage of the US government and the policies that have been created. I believe the biggest problems are still ahead of us as the American government via the FDIC is giving away the largest giveaway in American History. The government is allowing banks that are failing to be taken over by private equity groups with no experience running banks while they limit their liability and provide tremendous upside for the investor; this comes all at the taxpayer’s expense. Fly a US Flag, USA Flag, American Flag while it lasts. Sooner or later we’ll be flying other country’s woes like Mexico Flag

You know, I can't believe where this country is going. Until Obama came into office, we had plenty! We could pay for 2 wars of freedom and still pave our roads and build our bridges. Now, we have all of this debt! He's to blame you know. Its all part of the big plot to enslave us all. We never had a deficit before him. Althought I think that Clinton man played with the numbers (and other things! *wink*) in order to make it look like he wasn't running up deficits. What liar! Now we have a liar and a coward! Why did Obama avoid the draft? Others like Bush and Cheney made up for their lack of service with BALLS! God bless America!

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Forget Health Care - It’s the economy, stupid!! Finally someone in DC has spoken to the ongoing “housing bubble”. Elizabeth Warren, head of the Congressional Oversight Committee, is acknowledging that the banks still have most of the toxic assets on their books. Remember, the financial bailout was supposed to take care of them. For a number of reasons, including federal regulators changing the rules this February to allow the banks’ book value of these assets to be higher than actual value, a large majority of these assets are not taken care of (about 70%). $700 billion in financial bailout spent to take care of just 30% of the defaulted properties. Couple this with the fact that 2006 was the pinnacle of toxic loans; by then the mortgage companies were loaning money to the least qualified people. Most of these toxic loans were 2, 3 or 5 year balloon payments with a minimum payment option that did not even cover interest. We have lived through the horrible default rates in 2008 and 2009 from these loans and this is only the tip of the iceberg. The default rate continues to increase monthly and the latest bailout attempt, PPIP, is not working. Over 75% of those toxic loans were 5 year which means that in 2011, if Congress is stupid enough to do it again, we are talking about multiple trillions in defaults to bail out, at least three times the $700 billion we have already seen. Now, about commercial real estate, the mortgage default rate for 2010 through 2013 is forecast to be as high as 60% according to Warren. $165 billion comes due this year with $1 trillion due 2010 to 2013. That's another $700 billion defaulting. Blumberg stated "We are on the brink of one of the worst commercial real estate refinancing markets ever". And from the Beltway we hear “We have to have stimulus now” We have to have health care now”. Spend! Spend! Spend! The truth is, if Congress and the President don’t attack the financial crisis now, while there is still a little time, they won’t be able to print enough money for the 2010-2013 bail outs. Everything else should be put on hold, and spending must be reversed. They need to be working with the banks and mortgage companies to make the toxic mortgages non-toxic before they become due. If they wait until it is too late and then have another knee-jerk, throwing many trillions of dollars into another bail out, the US, as we know it, will cease to exist as hyper-inflation and the heavily devalued dollar destroys us. If they don’t perform another bail out, we will also collapse (just with less debt). We can not recover from our debt being, in a matter of just four years, over twice the GDP. It is going to hit $12 trillion on August 27 and is increasing at over $3.1 trillion per year without figuring the future real estate bail-outs (another $3 trillion) or any other major spending bill such as health care (another $1 to $2 trillion at current estimates). The result is over $28 trillion of debt vs. a GDP of $14 trillion and not increasing in the near future. We will have a Debt to GDP ratio of over 200%, approaching Zimbabwe’s 241.2%, the worst in the world with a 231 million % inflation rate this January when prices doubled every 24 hours. They had to abandon their currency to get it under control. As Warren Buffett just succinctly put it “The US will become a Banana Republic”.
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